The generating functions of the Severi degrees for sufficiently ample line bundles on algebraic surfaces are multiplicative in the topological invariants of the surface and the line bundle. Recently new proofs of this fact were given for toric surfaces by Block, Colley, Kennedy and Liu, Osserman, using tropical geometry and in particular the combinatorial tool of long-edged graphs. In the first part of this paper these results are for $\mathbb{P}^2$ and rational ruled surfaces generalised to refined Severi degrees. In the second part of the paper we give a number of mostly conjectural generalisations of this result to singular surfaces, and curves with prescribed multiple points. The formulas involve modular forms and theta functions.

1 aGöttsche, Lothar1 aKikwai, Benjamin, Kipkirui uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.4310/CNTP.2016.v10.n2.a201121nas a2200121 4500008004300000245007400043210006900117260003700186520069600223100002200919700002200941856003600963 2010 en_Ud 00aRiemann-Roch theorems and elliptic genus for virtually smooth schemes0 aRiemannRoch theorems and elliptic genus for virtually smooth sch bMathematical Sciences Publishers3 aFor a proper scheme X with a fixed 1-perfect obstruction theory, we define virtual versions of holomorphic Euler characteristic, chi y-genus, and elliptic genus; they are deformation invariant, and extend the usual definition in the smooth case. We prove virtual versions of the Grothendieck-Riemann-Roch and Hirzebruch-Riemann-Roch theorems. We show that the virtual chi y-genus is a polynomial, and use this to define a virtual topological Euler characteristic. We prove that the virtual elliptic genus satisfies a Jacobi modularity property; we state and prove a localization theorem in the toric equivariant case. We show how some of our results apply to moduli spaces of stable sheaves.1 aFantechi, Barbara1 aGöttsche, Lothar uhttp://hdl.handle.net/1963/3888